Union Santa Fe 1-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

Union Santa Fe
1-0 HT 0-0
Velez Sarsfield
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
6.74
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
13%
6.43
X/2
14%
4.43
X/X
20%
3.34
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.38
2/X
9%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.14/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.15
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.9 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
255 Passes 343
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.07.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
07.08.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
07.09.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 4-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
05.04.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 4-1 HT 2-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
10.03.2020 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-3 HT 0-2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
25.11.2018 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Velez Sarsfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-0
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.49 xG 0.72
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
152 Passes 427
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe squeezed past Velez Sarsfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Union Santa Fe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 32% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 68%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.49 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Union Santa Fe and 2.33 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 30%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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