Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 TP Mazembe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.75
No
70%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
10%
6.84
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.0 — our 44% vs market 43.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
19.95
X/1
20%
3.39
X/2
15%
10.45
X/X
19%
3.73
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
5%
10.5
2/X
4%
21.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.5pp
30%
BTTS Yes
32%
-2.0pp
70%
BTTS No
68%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY TP Mazembe EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
0W-1D-1L
AWAY TP Mazembe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
262 Passes 235
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2021 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
24.02.2021 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 HT 0-0 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
2-1
AWAY TP Mazembe
1.28 xG 0.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
259 Passes 287
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Omdurman vs TP Mazembe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Omdurman nicked a narrow win over TP Mazembe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Omdurman as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hilal Omdurman had 47% of the ball to TP Mazembe's 53%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.28 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, TP Mazembe led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Hilal Omdurman and 1.00 for TP Mazembe.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Omdurman vs TP Mazembe?

Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 TP Mazembe in the CAF Champions League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Omdurman vs TP Mazembe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Omdurman win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Omdurman 47%, draw 28%, TP Mazembe 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Omdurman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Omdurman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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