Awassa Kenema 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.93/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.51
-23% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +120%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
0-1
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema nicked a narrow win over Awassa Kenema 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Arba Minch Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 56% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 44%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Awassa Kenema 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 35%, draw 29%, Arba Minch Kenema 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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