Polokwane City 2-0 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.18 — our 42% vs market 38.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.8pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.71/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.97
-10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.2 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.80 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
226 Passes 354
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
09.12.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
15.08.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 2-3 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
14.09.2019 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
22.04.2015 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 4-1 HT 2-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
2-0
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.88 xG 0.63
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
190 Passes 453
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City saw off Kaizer Chiefs 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 36% / 36%) promised a tight game; Polokwane City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Polokwane City had 34% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 66%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.88 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kaizer Chiefs led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Polokwane City and 1.60 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Polokwane City 2-0 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 28%, draw 36%, Kaizer Chiefs 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (28/36/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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