Emmen vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emmen v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Emmen vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Emmen 1-1 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
Emmen and Excelsior shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Emmen had 52% of the ball to Excelsior's 48%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.63 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for Excelsior.
What was the final score of Emmen vs Excelsior?
Emmen 1-1 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emmen vs Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Emmen 35%, draw 26%, Excelsior 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Excelsior) went the other way.