PEC Zwolle (K) 1-2 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.37/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-64% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -37%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
218 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 20.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AZ (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
21.01.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
1-2
AWAY AZ (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) squeezed past PEC Zwolle (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AZ (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PEC Zwolle (K) had 53% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 47%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle (K) vs AZ (K)?

PEC Zwolle (K) 1-2 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle (K) 23%, draw 26%, AZ (K) 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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