Afyonspor 1-3 1461 Trabzon FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
56%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+12.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
56%
Away Win
75%
-19.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 79%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afyonspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor T2L-K
06.02.2022 Afyonspor Afyonspor 0-1 HT 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-K
02.10.2021 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-K
12.12.2020 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 4-1 HT 1-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-B
18.01.2020 Afyonspor Afyonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-B
08.09.2019 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-B
POST-MATCH Afyonspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1461 Trabzon FK saw off Afyonspor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 1461 Trabzon FK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1461 Trabzon FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Afyonspor and 1.83 for 1461 Trabzon FK.

What was the final score of Afyonspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Afyonspor 1-3 1461 Trabzon FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1461 Trabzon FK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor 20%, draw 24%, 1461 Trabzon FK 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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