08/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Kairouan vs Baath Bouhajla Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
26%
Draw
24%
16%
Away Win
13%
55%
Under 2.5
61%
45%
Over 2.5
39%
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
55%
BTTS No
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kairouan v Baath Bouhajla — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kairouan
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Baath Bouhajla
EU Bookmakers 16%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+28%
/
+29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
367 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kairouan vs Baath Bouhajla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kairouan edged past Baath Bouhajla 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairouan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Kairouan vs Baath Bouhajla?
Kairouan 2-1 Baath Bouhajla in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kairouan vs Baath Bouhajla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kairouan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 58%, draw 26%, Baath Bouhajla 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairouan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kairouan)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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