Hamburger SV (K) 1-4 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 8 Dec 2025

Hamburger SV (K)
1-4 HT 0-2
Köln (K)
📅08/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hamburger SV (K) vs Köln (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
55%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.5pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.2pp
55%
Away Win
48%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburger SV (K) v Köln (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
– Crosses 18.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Hamburger SV (K) 1-4 Köln (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
1-4
AWAY Köln (K)
1.08 xG 1.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
274 Passes 255
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamburger SV (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) ran out comfortable winners over Hamburger SV (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Köln (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamburger SV (K) had 53% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 47%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.91.

What was the final score of Hamburger SV (K) vs Köln (K)?

Hamburger SV (K) 1-4 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburger SV (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hamburger SV (K) 27%, draw 18%, Köln (K) 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →