AFC Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Jan 2024

AFC Fylde
2-1 HT 2-0
Hartlepool United
📅09/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.73
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.0
X/1
13%
5.17
X/2
11%
7.25
X/X
12%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.3
2/2
16%
4.37
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Fylde v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.65/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.58
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 2-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
13.08.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
12.03.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-2 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.11.2018 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
17.03.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-3 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
26.08.2017 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL

AFC Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
2-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde nicked a narrow win over Hartlepool United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Fylde as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 45% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 55%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.83 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool United?

AFC Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 42%, draw 25%, Hartlepool United 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
9 Jan 2024
22:45 Barnet vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →