Peterhead 3-1 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.32
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
11%
5.84
X/X
15%
5.35
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
17%
3.67
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.03/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.07
-24% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dumbarton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
23.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
16.07.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 0-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
09.04.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 1-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
26.02.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 4-3 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
18.12.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-3 HT 2-2 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
02.10.2021 Peterhead Peterhead 5-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead got the better of Dumbarton 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Peterhead made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Peterhead and 1.33 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Dumbarton?

Peterhead 3-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 34%, draw 30%, Dumbarton 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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