Bognor Regis Town 2-1 Cray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bognor Regis Town EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Cray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bognor Regis Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cray Wanderers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2022 Cray Wanderers Cray Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-2 Bognor Regis Town Bognor Regis Town FAK
03.09.2022 Bognor Regis Town Bognor Regis Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Cray Wanderers Cray Wanderers FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bognor Regis Town
2-1
AWAY Cray Wanderers
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Bognor Regis Town vs Cray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bognor Regis Town edged past Cray Wanderers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cray Wanderers at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Bognor Regis Town had 65% of the ball to Cray Wanderers's 35%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bognor Regis Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bognor Regis Town and 1.00 for Cray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Bognor Regis Town vs Cray Wanderers?

Bognor Regis Town 2-1 Cray Wanderers in the England - Non League Premier on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bognor Regis Town vs Cray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bognor Regis Town 18%, draw 25%, Cray Wanderers 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cray Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cray Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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