Fiorentina 0-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 9 Jan 2024

Fiorentina
0-0 HT 0-0
Bologna
📅09/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2023/2024

Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.24
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
11%
6.43
X/X
12%
3.56
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
10%
5.29
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina v Bologna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.02/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/3.83
+28% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / -58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.5 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Fiorentina vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bologna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
356 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
05.02.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
11.09.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
13.03.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
05.12.2021 Bologna Bologna 2-3 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
02.05.2021 Bologna Bologna 3-3 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA

Fiorentina 0-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
0-0
AWAY Bologna
1.37 xG 1.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
335 Passes 650
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina and Bologna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fiorentina had 38% of the ball to Bologna's 62%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.37 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fiorentina and 1.67 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Bologna?

Fiorentina 0-0 Bologna in the Italy - Cup on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 46%, draw 27%, Bologna 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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