Muharraq 3-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 9 Jan 2024

Muharraq
3-1 HT 3-0
Al Ahli Manama
📅09/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Bahrain - Cup – 2023/2024

Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
19%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+4.8pp
19%
Draw
27%
-8.5pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Muharraq v Al Ahli Manama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
03.05.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
23.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
14.03.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
18.12.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.09.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHFK

Muharraq 3-1 Al Ahli Manama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq saw off Al Ahli Manama 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Muharraq had 42% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 58%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Muharraq and 0.33 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama?

Muharraq 3-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Cup on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 46%, draw 19%, Al Ahli Manama 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Over 2.5
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