ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Sreenidi Deccan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sreenidi Deccan EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +119%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Sreenidi Deccan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan nicked a narrow win over Sreenidi Deccan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Sreenidi Deccan?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 Sreenidi Deccan in the India - Super Cup on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Sreenidi Deccan?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 43%, draw 24%, Sreenidi Deccan 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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