Al Jahra 1-2 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 9 Jan 2024

Al Jahra
1-2 HT 1-0
Al Salmiyah
📅09/01/2024 · 🕒17:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Kuwait - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Jahra vs Al Salmiyah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 34% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.8
1/2
8%
21.75
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
10%
9.12
X/2
19%
3.98
X/X
12%
5.5
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.18
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Jahra v Al Salmiyah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jahra EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
0.79/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.45
-36% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Al Jahra vs Al Salmiyah Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jahra
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Jahra Al Jahra KUV
04.03.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Jahra Al Jahra KUV
02.11.2022 Al Jahra Al Jahra 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
29.11.2020 Al Jahra Al Jahra 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
POST-MATCH Al Jahra vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah nicked a narrow win over Al Jahra 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Salmiyah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Salmiyah led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Jahra and 2.25 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Jahra vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Jahra 1-2 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jahra vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Salmiyah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Jahra 24%, draw 23%, Al Salmiyah 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Salmiyah) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Salmiyah) ✗ BTTS No
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