Rio Ave U23 0-3 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
36%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.4pp
36%
Away Win
23%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.01
-19% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +131%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 0
04.11.2023 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 cruised past Rio Ave U23 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave U23 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Rio Ave U23 0-3 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 47%, draw 18%, Sporting Braga U23 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rio Ave U23), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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