Hajer 1-0 Al Qaisoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajer EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.99/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
-27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajer
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Qaisoma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.04.2023 Hajer Hajer 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
09.11.2022 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajer Hajer SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajer
1-0
AWAY Al Qaisoma
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajer vs Al Qaisoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajer edged past Al Qaisoma 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hajer as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hajer had 51% of the ball to Al Qaisoma's 49%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hajer and 2.00 for Al Qaisoma.

What was the final score of Hajer vs Al Qaisoma?

Hajer 1-0 Al Qaisoma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajer vs Al Qaisoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajer win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hajer 42%, draw 26%, Al Qaisoma 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajer), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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