W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Jan 2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-3 HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅09/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-8.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+126% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.6 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 1.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
268 Passes 338
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-3
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
0.30 xG 4.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 44
2 Shots on Target 15
3 Corners 15
257 Passes 455
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 47
11 Crosses 41
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) swept aside W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 40% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 60%, shots finished 7-44, expected goals 0.30 to 4.10.

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 25%, draw 25%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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