Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.31
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.99
X/2
12%
5.91
X/X
12%
4.4
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.2
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.23
-19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.3 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Birmingham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.62 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
259 Passes 280
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 2-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
20.02.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
17.10.2020 Birmingham Birmingham 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
22.02.2020 Birmingham Birmingham 3-3 HT 2-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
27.11.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
01.01.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
AWAY Birmingham
1.51 xG 1.78
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
201 Passes 405
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday got the better of Birmingham 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sheffield Wednesday as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 37% of the ball to Birmingham's 63%, shots finished 13-25, expected goals 1.51 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.33 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Birmingham?

Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Birmingham in the England - Championship on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 43%, draw 25%, Birmingham 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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