Shamrock Rovers 3-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cumhurbaskanligi Cup, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 33% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.72
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.45
X/2
10%
7.09
X/X
15%
4.65
2/1
7%
24.6
2/2
13%
5.21
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St Patricks
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 1.05
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
358 Passes 224
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
15.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
21.04.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
17.03.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
21.10.2022 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
27.06.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3-1
AWAY St Patricks
1.01 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
382 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers beat St Patricks 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 56% of the ball to St Patricks's 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.01 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.00 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Shamrock Rovers 3-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - FAI Cumhurbaskanligi Cup on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 42%, draw 26%, St Patricks 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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