Fram Reykjavik 3-2 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 9 Feb 2024

Fram Reykjavik
3-2 HT 2-0
Fylkir
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.25
No
37%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+5.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
76%
-12.7pp
37%
BTTS No
24%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fram Reykjavik v Fylkir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 39%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.74
-23% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fylkir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.58 xG 2.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
308 Passes 309
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 5-1 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
08.08.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
14.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
30.07.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZK
05.03.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
04.10.2014 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-3 HT 2-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Fylkir 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fylkir at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.50 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Fram Reykjavik 3-2 Fylkir in the Iceland - League Cup on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 33%, draw 27%, Fylkir 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fylkir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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