Viktoria Köln 1-3 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Feb 2024

Viktoria Köln
1-3 HT 1-2
Borussia Dortmund II
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
19%
4.4
X/2
11%
7.47
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
16%
5.38
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Köln v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.79/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.16
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.6 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
07.05.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
08.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.04.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
24.10.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
15.08.2015 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL

Viktoria Köln 1-3 Borussia Dortmund II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
1-3
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II got the better of Viktoria Köln 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Köln at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 65% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 35%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Köln and 0.83 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Viktoria Köln 1-3 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 42%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund II 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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