Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-4 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 Feb 2024

Essen-Schönebeck (K)
4-4 HT 2-4
RB Leipzig (K)
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Essen-Schönebeck (K) v RB Leipzig (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-4 RB Leipzig (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
4-4
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
3.96 xG 0.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 7
266 Passes 176
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
42 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Essen-Schönebeck (K) and RB Leipzig (K) shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 2-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Essen-Schönebeck (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 58% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 42%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.96 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-4 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 48%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig (K) 28%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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