Rosario Central 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.84
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
17%
4.13
X/2
9%
7.1
X/X
12%
3.73
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
14%
6.06
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-0
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.55 xG 0.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
323 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central edged past Independiente Rivadavia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rosario Central had 50% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 50%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.55 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Rosario Central 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 45%, draw 26%, Independiente Rivadavia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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