Green Gully 1-0 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

Green Gully
1-0 HT 1-0
Moreland City
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Green Gully vs Moreland City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.96
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.66
No
37%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.2pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.7pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+0.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-0.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.1pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Green Gully v Moreland City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/3.00
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
472 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
31.4 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Green Gully vs Moreland City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Moreland City
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.07.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 1-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
07.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 6-2 HT 2-2 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully nicked a narrow win over Moreland City 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Green Gully as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Green Gully had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Green Gully and 1.50 for Moreland City.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Moreland City?

Green Gully 1-0 Moreland City in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 58%, draw 19%, Moreland City 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Green Gully) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Green Gully) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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