W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Feb 2024

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2-1 HT 1-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.67/3.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.40
-43% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
26.0 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.79 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
334 Passes 194
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
02.02.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.10.2017 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2-1
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.44 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
258 Passes 263
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) nicked a narrow win over Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had W. Sydney Wanderers (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 51% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 49%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.44 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.75 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a W. Sydney Wanderers (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 43%, draw 26%, Newcastle Jets (K) 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →