Parnahyba 1-0 Oeirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Piauiense, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
34%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnahyba The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Oeirense The Market 48%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.34
+126% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnahyba
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Oeirense
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.03.2022 Oeirense 0-1 HT 0-1 Parnahyba Parnahyba BRPI
05.02.2022 Parnahyba Parnahyba 4-1 HT 3-0 Oeirense BRPI
POST-MATCH Parnahyba vs Oeirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnahyba nicked a narrow win over Oeirense 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Parnahyba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Parnahyba had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Parnahyba and 0.50 for Oeirense.

What was the final score of Parnahyba vs Oeirense?

Parnahyba 1-0 Oeirense in the Brazil - Piauiense on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnahyba vs Oeirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oeirense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Parnahyba 31%, draw 30%, Oeirense 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oeirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oeirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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