KOZAF 2-3 Etoile Filante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
34%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
30%
4-5
16%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
62%
-25.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.3pp
34%
Away Win
16%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KOZAF The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Filante The Market 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH KOZAF vs Etoile Filante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Filante nicked a narrow win over KOZAF 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Etoile Filante made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of KOZAF vs Etoile Filante?

KOZAF 2-3 Etoile Filante in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KOZAF vs Etoile Filante?

Before kick-off our model rated a KOZAF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split KOZAF 37%, draw 29%, Etoile Filante 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KOZAF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →