ES Setif 2-1 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.54/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.47
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
0W-0D-2L
AWAY USM Khenchela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
13.10.2022 ES Setif ES Setif 1-2 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Setif
2-1
AWAY USM Khenchela
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif nicked a narrow win over USM Khenchela 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ES Setif as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ES Setif had 49% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ES Setif and 1.50 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs USM Khenchela?

ES Setif 2-1 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 54%, draw 25%, USM Khenchela 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Setif) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Setif) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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