Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Racing De Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.13
No
67%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
43%
-9.5pp
67%
BTTS No
57%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing De Casablanca EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.54/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/0.61
-55% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +65%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
212 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Racing De Casablanca
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
6 Corners 2
02.09.2023 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 1-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
10.06.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
27.12.2022 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Racing De Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Ben Guerir and Racing De Casablanca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chabab Ben Guerir at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chabab Ben Guerir and 0.33 for Racing De Casablanca.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Racing De Casablanca?

Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Racing De Casablanca in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Racing De Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 44%, draw 28%, Racing De Casablanca 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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