Llanelli Town 4-0 Abergavenny Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
25%
7.13
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.6pp
25%
Draw
11%
+13.3pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.0pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Abergavenny Town EU Bookmakers 9%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.91/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/3.06
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
485 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Abergavenny Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
22.09.2023 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 1-5 HT 0-2 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
31.03.2023 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
30.09.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 6-0 HT 3-0 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town GALFAW
22.07.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Abergavenny Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town ran out comfortable winners over Abergavenny Town 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Llanelli Town and 0.75 for Abergavenny Town.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Abergavenny Town?

Llanelli Town 4-0 Abergavenny Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Abergavenny Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 66%, draw 25%, Abergavenny Town 9%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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