RKC Waalwijk 2-0 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Feb 2024

RKC Waalwijk
2-0 HT 2-0
NEC Nijmegen
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

RKC Waalwijk vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.03
1/2
7%
24.6
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
13%
6.09
X/2
15%
5.12
X/X
13%
4.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.16
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.50/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.52
+6% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +79%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
18.5 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

RKC Waalwijk vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0W-2D-4L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.39 xG 2.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
326 Passes 443
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
15.07.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HAZ
18.03.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-3 HT 0-3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
13.11.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 6-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
09.07.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-1 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
19.02.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

RKC Waalwijk 2-0 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2-0
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.94 xG 0.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
245 Passes 411
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk saw off NEC Nijmegen 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day RKC Waalwijk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 40% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 60%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.94 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 2.67 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs NEC Nijmegen?

RKC Waalwijk 2-0 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 39%, draw 24%, NEC Nijmegen 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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