Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 9 Feb 2024

Nassaji Mazandaran
0-1 HT 0-0
Aluminium Arak
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Iran - Cup – 2023/2024

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.48
Over 2.5
29%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
12%
5.59
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.17 — our 42% vs market 38.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
64%
+7.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
36%
-7.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.6pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nassaji Mazandaran v Aluminium Arak — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.87
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
17.10.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
14.04.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
21.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRANK
28.10.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 3-0 HT 2-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
04.05.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
27.04.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRANK
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak squeezed past Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Aluminium Arak found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak?

Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Cup on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nassaji Mazandaran win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 35%, draw 30%, Aluminium Arak 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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