Bangor FC 3-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.47 — our 25% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.28/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.62
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor FC
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 6
26.12.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
11.08.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.07.2018 Bangor FC Bangor FC 1-4 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC HAZ
27.12.2014 Bangor FC Bangor FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangor FC
3-1
AWAY Ards FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bangor FC vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC got the better of Ards FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bangor FC had 53% of the ball to Ards FC's 47%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ards FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bangor FC and 2.25 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Bangor FC vs Ards FC?

Bangor FC 3-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor FC vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bangor FC 58%, draw 26%, Ards FC 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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