Newry City AFC 1-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

Newry City AFC
1-1 HT 0-0
Ballymena United
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2023/2024

Newry City AFC vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.09
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
19%
5.71
X/2
14%
5.03
X/X
10%
4.36
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.42
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newry City AFC v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.29/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.33
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Newry City AFC vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
22.04.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
24.01.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
08.11.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-2 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
04.11.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL

Newry City AFC 1-1 Ballymena United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newry City AFC
1-1
AWAY Ballymena United
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC and Ballymena United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Newry City AFC had 45% of the ball to Ballymena United's 55%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newry City AFC and 1.17 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Ballymena United?

Newry City AFC 1-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 39%, draw 26%, Ballymena United 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newry City AFC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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