Valletta 0-1 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+5.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.54/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.68
-46% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Birkirkara
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
05.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-1 HT 1-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
02.10.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-0 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
12.03.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
04.12.2021 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
0-1
AWAY Birkirkara
43% Ball Possession 57%
1 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valletta vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara nicked a narrow win over Valletta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Valletta had 43% of the ball to Birkirkara's 57%, shots finished 1-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Birkirkara led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Valletta and 1.20 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Valletta vs Birkirkara?

Valletta 0-1 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valletta 29%, draw 27%, Birkirkara 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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