Al Nairyah 3-2 Al-Lewaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
36%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No Pick
66%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
15%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
63%
-18.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
15%
+21.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nairyah The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Lewaa The Market 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Nairyah vs Al-Lewaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nairyah squeezed past Al-Lewaa 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nairyah as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Nairyah vs Al-Lewaa?

Al Nairyah 3-2 Al-Lewaa in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nairyah vs Al-Lewaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nairyah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Nairyah 45%, draw 20%, Al-Lewaa 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nairyah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nairyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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