Çorum FK 0-1 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2024

Çorum FK
0-1 HT 0-1
Ümraniyespor
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Çorum FK vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.15
X/1
18%
4.08
X/2
9%
8.16
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
11%
23.75
2/2
11%
6.29
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çorum FK v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 25%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.55/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.75
+39% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.7 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Çorum FK vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.02 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 7
351 Passes 371
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-3 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L

Çorum FK 0-1 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
0-1
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.86 xG 0.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
412 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 10
46 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor squeezed past Çorum FK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Çorum FK at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 59% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 41%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.86 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Ümraniyespor?

Çorum FK 0-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 50%, draw 25%, Ümraniyespor 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Çorum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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