Kitara 1-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.3pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
15.09.2023 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 1-1 Kitara Kitara UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
1-1
AWAY SC Villa
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Kitara vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara and SC Villa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kitara at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kitara had 47% of the ball to SC Villa's 53%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Kitara vs SC Villa?

Kitara 1-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kitara 60%, draw 25%, SC Villa 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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9 Feb 2024
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