NEC 2-0 Mbarara City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +102%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mbarara City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
15.09.2023 Mbarara City Mbarara City 0-1 HT 0-0 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
2-0
AWAY Mbarara City
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
POST-MATCH NEC vs Mbarara City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC saw off Mbarara City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day NEC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, NEC had 63% of the ball to Mbarara City's 37%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of NEC vs Mbarara City?

NEC 2-0 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Mbarara City?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NEC 40%, draw 26%, Mbarara City 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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