Torque 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.4pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 40%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2023 Torque Torque 5-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
01.05.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 3-2 HT 2-1 Torque Torque URU
10.09.2022 Torque Torque 3-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
20.07.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
04.04.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
24.10.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque got the better of Deportivo Maldonado 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Torque found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torque had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torque and 2.00 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Torque 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay Cup on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torque 34%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maldonado 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →