Portuguesa FC 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

Portuguesa FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Academia Puerto Cabello
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+8.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portuguesa FC v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.31/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.06
-27% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
26.6 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.59 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 235
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
22.10.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
18.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 4-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.02.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
24.10.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
19.09.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Portuguesa FC 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
0-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.35 xG 0.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
305 Passes 195
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 4
36 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello squeezed past Portuguesa FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Portuguesa FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 60% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 40%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.35 to 0.19 — on chances, Portuguesa FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.50 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Portuguesa FC 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 46%, draw 27%, Academia Puerto Cabello 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portuguesa FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →