Marbella 1-4 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.48
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.34/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.79
+16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Murcia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
10.11.2019 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-4
AWAY Real Murcia
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia swept aside Marbella 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 50% of the ball to Real Murcia's 50%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marbella and 0.50 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Real Murcia?

Marbella 1-4 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marbella 33%, draw 31%, Real Murcia 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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