Napoli (K) 4-2 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.8
Over 2.5
58%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.3pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.86/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
-100% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
10.0 Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Como (K)
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.73 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
214 Passes 342
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
27.04.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
17.03.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
11.10.2023 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 6-3 Como (K) Como (K) İTKK
17.09.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
4-2
AWAY Como (K)
1.59 xG 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
228 Passes 298
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) beat Como (K) 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Como (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 45% of the ball to Como (K)'s 55%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 1.59 to 2.50 — on chances, Como (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Como (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Napoli (K) and 2.00 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Como (K)?

Napoli (K) 4-2 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 27%, draw 27%, Como (K) 46%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Como (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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