Curico Unido 0-1 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curico Unido EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.37
+41% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
35.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curico Unido
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2020 Curico Unido Curico Unido 2-2 HT 2-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
17.02.2020 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-2 HT 0-0 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
10.08.2019 Curico Unido Curico Unido 4-2 HT 2-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
04.05.2019 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-2 HT 0-2 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
25.08.2018 Curico Unido Curico Unido 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
18.02.2018 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 0-0 HT 0-0 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curico Unido
0-1
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Curico Unido vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Concepcion edged past Curico Unido 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Curico Unido at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Curico Unido had 49% of the ball to Universidad Concepcion's 51%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curico Unido had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Curico Unido and 1.00 for Universidad Concepcion.

What was the final score of Curico Unido vs Universidad Concepcion?

Curico Unido 0-1 Universidad Concepcion in the Chile - Cup on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curico Unido vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curico Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Curico Unido 45%, draw 22%, Universidad Concepcion 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Curico Unido) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curico Unido) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİLİK More Chile - Cup
9 Feb 2025
00:00 Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido Analysis →
00:00 CSD Rangers vs Deportes Temuco Analysis →
02:00 Nublense vs Santa Cruz Analysis →