Hoffenheim (K) 1-3 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.4pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.46/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.50
-100% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 84%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
8.0 Crosses 13.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.47 xG 2.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
280 Passes 431
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
27.01.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-3
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.80 xG 2.68
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 7
188 Passes 470
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) got the better of Hoffenheim (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 33% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 67%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.80 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hoffenheim (K) and 3.00 for Bayern München (K).

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-3 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 19%, draw 26%, Bayern München (K) 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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