Gulf United 3-2 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.0pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.72/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
-48% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 Gulf United BAE2
14.09.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-1 Gulf United BAE2
23.03.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-2 HT 1-0 Gulf United BAE2
05.11.2023 Gulf United 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Gulf United vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf United nicked a narrow win over Al Thaid 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gulf United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gulf United and 1.50 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Gulf United vs Al Thaid?

Gulf United 3-2 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf United vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gulf United 34%, draw 28%, Al Thaid 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Thaid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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