Bahardar 2-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.9
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
49%
-13.4pp
36%
Draw
30%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.34/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.48
-71% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +138%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
2-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar nicked a narrow win over Fasil Ketema 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 36% / 29% — and on the day Bahardar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahardar had 50% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 50%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema?

Bahardar 2-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 35%, draw 36%, Fasil Ketema 29%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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