09/02/2025
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
KaPa vs FC Lahti Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
24%
Draw
25%
43%
Away Win
47%
46%
Under 2.5
41%
54%
Over 2.5
59%
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
48%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KaPa v FC Lahti — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KaPa
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Lahti
EU Bookmakers 51%
-44% /
-44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
283 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
412 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
KaPa vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Lahti nicked a narrow win over KaPa 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of KaPa vs FC Lahti?
KaPa 0-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Ykköscup on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KaPa vs FC Lahti?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KaPa 33%, draw 24%, FC Lahti 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FC Lahti)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FINYK
More Finland - Ykköscup
9 Feb 2025